Back in September when Alberta was going through the peak of it’s Delta wave, and after a summer of successfully vaccinating about 80% of the population our Premier said the pandemic is now “A Crises of the Unvaccinated.” (Joe Biden said the same thing around that time.)
The reason for this as our Chief Medical Officer shortly explained is that the majority of people in hospitals and especially ICU’s (close to 80%) were the unvaccinated. Clearly the vaccines appeared to be working at preventing severe symptoms and death.
However, I suspected this might not be the case remembering a critical point from stats 101: Correlation does NOT mean Causation!
My suspicion was seemingly confirmed a few minutes later when the Chief Medical Officer announced most new cases were from rural communities. Why is this little piece of information important!? I knew that people from rural communities are more unhealthy by a significant margin than city people. Across the board in Canada rural rates of obesity and overweight are much higher, which as we know leads to pre-conditions which lead to severe outcomes of covid.
Dr. McCullough on the Joe Rogan interview made the point that this error in reasoning is called SELECTION BIAS. And it seems to have tainted nearly every vaccine efficacy study put out there. If in your study it is primarily healthy people that get the vaccines, and unhealthy people that don’t as your controls, then vaccine efficacy in outcomes becomes artificially inflated in a dramatic way.
Dr. McCullough further made the following point:
“The Sars-CoV2 virus has got two very unique things as a viral syndrome. The first is this cytokine storm or this hyperimmune activation and that cytokine storm leads with the most unique cytokine interleukin-6. We’ve never seen this before. Interleukin-6 is produced by human fat cells. So the virus triggers human fat cells to produce a ton of interleukin. And 6, which itself is damaging.
And so those who are fat have a much greater depot and an ability to produce the site of kind storm. That’s the reason why obesity is an exquisite risk factor for mortality is because of the unique side of kind signature of SARS-CoV2.”
Looking at the death from covid data for the last 2 years in Alberta it is abundantly clear the overwhelming majority of severe outcomes are caused by ill health and preconditions NOT lack of vaccination. This is and always has been primarily “A Crises of the Unhealthy”. The fact that people thought vaccines could somehow get around this was highly suspicious!
In the fall almost every 2 days our Chief Medical Officer posted a pretty infographic on twitter showing 80%+ ICU’s were the unvaccinated with the message “Get vaccinated.” This drove political policy around covid passports and the medical segregation of society. Once Delta finished spreading through rural communities and Omicron took over the posts mysteriously stopped appearing. The numbers don’t support the ill-conceived narrative anymore.
I wonder how long it will take the medical establishment to realize their mistake…..maybe they should have paid more attention back in school in their stats 101 class.